000			01805nab a22001577a 4500
999			_c83737 _d83737
005			20230117103835.0
008			230117b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100	1		_aDulce, Elvin D. _eauthor
245	1	0	_aDevelopment of models and methodology for the reliability evaluation of two interconnected power systems
264		4	_c2018
520	3		_aThis study developed analytical and probabilistic models and methodology that simultaneously take into account the intermittency of wind power, the seasonal variation in hydropower, and the load forecast uncertainty, in evaluation the reliability of two interconnected power systems. The intermittency of wind power was incorporated by using a sliding window approach with a 7-hourperiod while the seasonal variation in hydropower was incorporated by considering the hourly generation. A seven-step approximation of the normal distribution was used for the load forecast uncertainty considerations. The Loss-of-Load Expectation (LOLE) in the Luzon Grid in 2014, when assisted by the Visayas Grid, increased from 53 hours/year to 95 hours/year when the intermittency of wind power, the seasonal variation in hydropower, and the load forecast uncertainty were considered. On the other hand, when the Luzon Grid is the assisting system, the LOLE in the Visayas Grid increased from 12 hours/year to 32 hours/year. A significant improvement was observed in the accuracy of the calculated LOLE in the two interconnected power system when the intermittency and the seasonal variation in the generation, and the load forecast uncertainty were simultaneously considered.
650		0	_aElectric power system
700	1		_aDel Mundo, Rowaldo D. _eauthor
773			_tPhilippine Engineering Journal _gvol. 39, no. 2: (December 2018), pages 51-74
942			_2ddc _cART