Academic analytics : comparative study of decision tree in predicting success in the licensure examination of graduates / by Jeffrey Arsenal Clarin.
By: Clarin, Jeffrey Arsenal [author.]
Language: English Description: xi, 60 leaves : color illustrations ; 28 cmContent type: text Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeSubject(s): Predictive analytics | Predictive analytics -- Predictive analytics | Teachers -- Training ofGenre/Form: Academic theses.DDC classification: 006.3/12 Dissertation note: Thesis (Doctor in Information Technology) -- Cebu Institute of Technology - University, Cebu City, 2020. Abstract: The researcher aimed to compare the similarities and dissimilarities between the researcher-developed academic analytics utilizing the CART and C4.5 algorithms when utilized to predict success in the licensure examination of graduates. This study adapted the knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) systems development method to identify the valid and valuable patterns in the gathered data as well as the comparative research methodology to identify similarities and differences between entities. The researcher utilized 348 instances coming from the 2012 to 2017 (5years) teacher education graduates in Kalibo, Aklan with the following attributes: Entrance Exam Result, Specialization Subjects; Professional Education Subjects; General Education Subjects, LET Review, and LET Exam Result. Among the similarities found were: both CART and C4.5 generated a decision tree utilizing the 4 steps advocated by Lewis (2000), both CART & C4.5 utilized the same parameters established for the training data sets, and, both CART & C4.5 had a strong agreement or are both reliable, as established by Kappa statistic. Among the dissimilarities found in this study were: a) the overall predictive capability (reliability) of the classification tree model of CART was established to be 94.2029%; whereas the summary of the evaluation of the training set for C4.5 was found to be 91.6667%; b) the confusion matrix for CART showed an overall accuracy of 90.80%; for C4.5, 91.67%; and, c) the Kappa value for CART was established to be 0.7965; for C4.5, 0.8195. Statistical analysis established a t-value of 2.03 and p-value of 0.180. In the event that the p-value was more than the 0.05 Alpha confidence level set for this study, the hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the constructed dissimilarities observed in CART and C4.5 decision tree algorithms when utilized in predicting the graduates’ success in the licensure examination was accepted.| Item type | Current location | Home library | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
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GRADUATE LIBRARY | GRADUATE LIBRARY Filipiniana | 006.312 C544 2020 (Browse shelf) | Not for loan | T1951 |
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| 001.42 G165 2003 Fundamentals of research and research designing / | 001.42 G165 2003 Fundamentals of research and research designing / | 001.422 Su14 2005 Statistics for research: applications in research, thesis and dissertation writing, and statistical data management using SPSS software/ | 006.312 C544 2020 Academic analytics : comparative study of decision tree in predicting success in the licensure examination of graduates / | 069.09599 L 455 2012 A tourist guide to notable Philippine museums/ | 069.09599 L455 2012 A tourist guide to notable Philippine museums/ | 302.2072 P423 2004 Communication research in the Philippines : issues and methods / |
Thesis (Doctor in Information Technology) -- Cebu Institute of Technology - University, Cebu City, 2020.
Includes bibliographical references.
The researcher aimed to compare the similarities and dissimilarities between the researcher-developed academic analytics utilizing the CART and C4.5 algorithms when utilized to predict success in the licensure examination of graduates.
This study adapted the knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) systems development method to identify the valid and valuable patterns in the gathered data as well as the comparative research methodology to identify similarities and differences between entities.
The researcher utilized 348 instances coming from the 2012 to 2017 (5years) teacher education graduates in Kalibo, Aklan with the following attributes: Entrance Exam Result, Specialization Subjects; Professional Education Subjects; General Education Subjects, LET Review, and LET Exam Result.
Among the similarities found were: both CART and C4.5 generated a decision tree utilizing the 4 steps advocated by Lewis (2000), both CART & C4.5 utilized the same parameters established for the training data sets, and, both CART & C4.5 had a strong agreement or are both reliable, as established by Kappa statistic.
Among the dissimilarities found in this study were: a) the overall predictive capability (reliability) of the classification tree model of CART was established to be 94.2029%; whereas the summary of the evaluation of the training set for C4.5 was found to be 91.6667%; b) the confusion matrix for CART showed an overall accuracy of 90.80%; for C4.5, 91.67%; and, c) the Kappa value for CART was established to be 0.7965; for C4.5, 0.8195.
Statistical analysis established a t-value of 2.03 and p-value of 0.180. In the event that the p-value was more than the 0.05 Alpha confidence level set for this study, the hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the constructed dissimilarities observed in CART and C4.5 decision tree algorithms when utilized in predicting the graduates’ success in the licensure examination was accepted.
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